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Research, case studies, and analysis on temporal validation and staying power

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I Built a Calculator for Time: Why Lasting Impact Beats Viral Noise

The story of why TVI exists — and why it measures what lasts, not what's loud. A manifesto for long-term thinking in a viral world.

The MNIST Paradox: Why the Oldest Dataset Still Wins

After 26 years, MNIST scores 40.21 TDIS — higher than datasets 100× larger. What temporal validation reveals about staying power.

ISPS Predicted Peloton's Collapse

How Investment Staying Power Score flagged structural weakness at ISPS 82 while Apple scored 7,775.

The 87% Visibility Gap

Why observers with 3-month validation horizons literally cannot perceive foundational value.

100% Validation Across Four Domains

How we tested TVI against known outcomes: viral content, business methods, AI datasets, and corporate survival.

$8.5B in Alpha: The ISPS Backtest

Portfolio analysis 2020-2024: how temporal validation outperformed momentum and fundamentals.